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The midterm rule
By Keegan Martin· October 28, 2026

The midterm rule

Washington Wednesday: The president’s party usually cedes ground in the midterms. But why do some elections bring political earthquakes while others barely register? Political scientist Hunter Baker looks to history for clues and offers a 2026 balance-of-power prediction. Plus: party loyalty versus candidate character, and the local political revolt against AI data centers.

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